Afrobarometer forced to explain itself after survey shows Mugabe has popular support and ZANU-PF would win elections if held tomorrow

Are we forecasting the 2018 elections?

No. We asked respondents in January-February 2017 how they would vote if an election were held the following day.

A plurality refused to answer (24%), said they wouldn’t vote (11%), or said they didn’t know (5%).

That’s more than said they would vote for the ZANU-PF (38%) or for opposition parties (22%).

Besides, a lot can happen between now and next year. So we are not offering predictions.

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